ZHANG Ying, XU Jian, SHENG Junqing, et al
Journal of Clinical Radiology. 2026, 45(5): 813-818.
Objective To explore the predictive value of coronary CT angiography(CCTA)for major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM). Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 150 patients with T2DM admitted to our hospital from June 2021 to June 2024.Patients were followed up for 12 months, and the occurrence of MACE was recorded.Based on follow-up results, patients were divided into two groups:69 patients who experienced MACE were included in the MACE group, and 81 patients who did not experience MACE were included in the non-MACE group.All patients underwent coronary CT angiography.Baseline characteristics and CCTA parameters were compared between the two groups.Receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve analysis was used to evaluate the predictive value of CCTA parameters for MACE in T2DM patients. Result sThere was no statistically significant difference in baseline characteristics between the two groups(P>0.05).The MACE group had a significantly higher proportion of patients with severe obstructive stenosis and high-risk spotty calcification.In addition, total plaque volume, plaque length, plaque burden, and plaque stenosis rate were all significantly greater in the MACE group compared to the non-MACE group(P<0.05).However, the minimum lumen area and CT-derived fractional flow reserve(CT-FFR)were significantly smaller in the MACE group than in the non-MACE group(P<0.05).Logistic regression analysis revealed that stenosis severity, total plaque volume, plaque length, plaque burden, plaque stenosis rate, and high-risk spotty calcification were all risk factors for MACE in T2DM patients, whereas minimum lumen area and CT-FFR were protective factors.ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC values for stenosis severity, minimum lumen area, total plaque volume, plaque length, plaque burden, plaque stenosis rate, high-risk spotty calcification, and CT-FFR were 0.678,0.692,0.726,0.741,0.758,0.792,0.659, and 0.778, respectively.DeLong test results demonstrated that the combined prediction model had a higher AUC value than any individual parameter(P<0.05). Conclusion Patients with MACE had a significantly higher proportion of severe obstructive stenosis and high-risk spotty calcification, along with significantly larger total plaque volume, plaque length, plaque burden, and plaque stenosis rate, but significantly smaller minimum lumen area and CT-FFR.The combination of coronary CT angiography parameters demonstrates high predictive value for MACE in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.